The Live Track Record
Every week we run the same test and publish the result — good or bad. Coins whose Clever Score rose 5+ pointsover the week (“upgrades”) versus coins whose score fell 5+ points(“downgrades”): how did each group’s price do over that same week, against Bitcoin?
9
weeks measured — ordering held every week
69%
avg weekly beat-BTC rate, upgraded coins
18%
avg weekly beat-BTC rate, downgraded coins
| Week ending | BTC 7d | Upgrades: beat BTC | median return | Downgrades: beat BTC | median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | +4.8% | 67% (81) | +8.1% | 9% (77) | -3.4% |
| 2026-07-26 | +0.2% | 67% (82) | +3.3% | 25% (63) | -3.6% |
| 2026-08-03 | -3.1% | 71% (94) | +0.7% | 20% (102) | -7.9% |
| 2026-08-09 * | +3.2% | 68% (221) | +6.7% | 18% (112) | -1.2% |
| 2026-08-12 * | -3.2% | 78% (128) | +3.6% | 26% (155) | -6.4% |
| 2026-08-22 * | +21.9% | 37% (314) | +17.5% | 6% (70) | -1.2% |
| 2026-08-29 | +1.0% | 61% (231) | +3.2% | 12% (82) | -6.2% |
| 2026-09-05 | +2.6% | 84% (295) | +9.4% | 17% (71) | -6.4% |
| 2026-09-13 | -3.8% | 91% (105) | +11.1% | 25% (150) | -8.3% |
* Hover the marked rows for measurement notes. (n) = coins in the cohort that week.
How to read this honestly
- This measures tracking, not prophecy. Score changes and price moves happen over the same week — the claim is that the score moves with the data as deterioration or improvement happens, not that it predicts tops or bottoms in advance.
- Medians, not averages.A handful of dead-coin repricing glitches print fake five-digit “returns”; we exclude anything beyond ±500% and quote medians so no single outlier flatters the numbers.
- Benchmark context matters. In weeks when Bitcoin itself rips (see Aug 22), beating BTC gets hard for everything — compare the upgrade and downgrade columns to each other, not to 100%.
- The early cadence was imperfect. Two of the first measurement windows overlap (marked *); the schedule has been a fixed weekly cron since. Rows are never edited after publication — the first nine are frozen in our source code.
The 90-day test
Weekly tracking is the fast feedback loop, but the Clever Score is built and backtested on a 90-day horizon. The first live 90-day cohort — every score as of early July 2026 — matures on October 1, 2026, and the results will be published here whatever they say.
Methodology, factor list, and the pre-launch backtest (misses included) are public on the methodology page. Clever Crypto is a research tool, not financial advice.